Bulls will argue that's a healthy amount of stock market skepticism. That helps explain the low number of shorted facebook/" target="_blank">shares, S3 said. In total, the three funds have seen a combined increase in short interest of $5.7 billion, or 9.6%, in 2017, the data show. "Using shares shorted as a metric for short interest or bearish sentiment is a misapplication of statistical reasoning," Dusaniwsky wrote in a client note. But they're looking at those shorted shares the wrong way, says Ihor Dusaniwsky, the head of research at S3.
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The accompanying chart shows the rate of return the stock market earned during the 72 rolling 20-year periods from 1926 to 2016. From 1926-2016, the stock market has achieved an average return of 10 percent (10.1 percent ). Too many investors are simply relying and/or expecting the stock market to solely decide the type of lifestyle they will live in retirement. Over the short term, the stock market can be extremely volatile. Put another way, there were 26 20-year periods (approximately one-third of the time) when the stock market earned less than 10 percent.
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What will the stock market do tomorrow? — Quartz
A basic Google search offers about as much insight into the stock market's future movements as supposedly sophisticated number crunching. The VIX index tracks the implied volatility of the US stock market, based on S&P 500 options. If this makes you nervous, then the best advice is to invest in broad market index funds, fight the urge to trade, and get on with your life. This won't tell you what the stock market will do tomorrow, but it can give you some indication of the range stocks are expected to move around in (both up and down). You can look for clues, though, in the prices of derivatives on stocks, which are based on how risky investors think the stock market will be in the future.The accompanying chart shows the rate of return the stock market earned during the 72 rolling 20-year periods from 1926 to 2016. From 1926-2016, the stock market has achieved an average return of 10 percent (10.1 percent ). Too many investors are simply relying and/or expecting the stock market to solely decide the type of lifestyle they will live in retirement. Over the short term, the stock market can be extremely volatile. Put another way, there were 26 20-year periods (approximately one-third of the time) when the stock market earned less than 10 percent.
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collected by :Jack Luxor
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